Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Find peace, Grasshopper


David Carradine, star of the 1970s TV show “Kung Fu,” which mixed Asian characters and influences with a Western setting and “Fugitive” story arc, apparently killed himself in Thailand this week. Carradine, who beat out Bruce Lee for the part, played a half-white North American, half-Chinese Shaolin monk who fled China to escape imperial authorities in continued to pursue him and find U.S. family members in the Western United States. His character’s name was Kwai Chang Caine.

Along with “The Rockford Files” and “Barney Miller,” this was the favorite show during my two years of heavy mid-1970s TV viewing. I probably identified with a rare Asian character on TV: a character who was, like my sister and I, half-Asian and half-white (we even shared a family name). The final episodes of the third and final season – particularly the series finale, “Full Circle,” which I’d love to watch again (along with the “Miami Vice” series finale) - even more directly tackled issues of racism, interracial romance, and violence against Asians and Asian Americans.

The show de facto showed that Asian immigrants were not new to the United States and dealt – usually delicately – with racial issues when black-white issues were still at the forefront and North America’s contemporary new immigration (partly of Asians, Africans, and Latin Americans) was just beginning in earnest.

Another favorite actor of mine, Bruce Lee, fled Hollywood after losing this part (to a non-Asian actor) – after allegedly developing the series idea – and began filmmaking in Hong Kong. There he produced several hit movies – including the extraordinary “Enter the Dragon” – but apparently stayed bitter about Hollywood racism and ultimately died young.

“Kung Fu” – which promoted an ethic of justice and personal serenity (always starting with flashbacks in a Chinese monastery – where Master Po calls Kwai Chang Caine Grasshopper) - and ending with a fight that Caine feels forced to get involved in (Caine as a somewhat standard circuit-riding do-gooder – a la “Quantum Leap” or “The Pretender”)) - probably both reflected and contributed to North Americans’ interest in martial arts and Asian culture and religions. (Before Jackie Chan and “Kung Fu Panda,” it no doubt also helped inspired Carl Douglas’ disco smash “Kung Fu Fighting” (even though the show had its own great theme music): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhUkGIsKvn0.)

Alas, Carradine enjoyed little professional success after “Kung Fu,” despite a short revival in a mediocre mid-1990s version of “Kung Fu” set in a modern-day U.S. city, except for a recent recurring role in Quentin Tarantino’s ultra-violent “Kill Bill” movies. (Penny and I did serve in a Hollywood test audience for a mediocre movie with Carradine and Stockard Channing that became “Death Race 2000.”) Carradine, 72, was in Thailand filming a new movie. He apparently hung himself in his Bangkok hotel room.

A revamped movie – a la the new “Star Trek” movie – is apparently in the works.

-- Perry

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Late May update


Vincent also had an appointment with the psychiatrist that ultimately prescribed medication for him, which we got to late enough today that we had to reschedule it for the end of the month. Last time Dr. Knox said the medication he's currently on has enough side effects that he can't be on it forever. So now - at the end of June - she'll decide whether to try a new medication or have him go cold turkey. Since he's now 18, there's a little bit of ambiguity now as to whether we should be going in with him to speak with the psychiatrist and what happens if he really doesn't want to keep taking medication. The court order said he must keep on with counseling and medication unless behavioral health providers say it’s OK to quit. (It's over in Jeffersonville, IN, so maybe Stephanie and Vincent will go next month and not be late like Vincent and I were.)

Mom went to the orthopedic doctor and got an X-ray. The doctor is sending her for an MRI, recommending focusing on posture and taking hourly breaks to do back exercises, and pooh-poohing physical therapy or chiropractic medicine. They did not talk about surgery, which Mom isn’t enthusiastic about. Mom knows there are several things going on – back problems, knee problems, general health problems, also posture (and she says that sitting all day hunched over a computer is probably bad for her posture also) – but she is unsure how disciplined she can be about posture and daily exercise. The doctor, who is rather old, said that one reason he’s in this area is that he too has faced similar issues. Mom canceled her PT appointment. Doing more assessment first may be good, but I’m not a big fan of no PT or other kinds of treatment. Going in to PT at least forces you to do the exercises a couple of times a week, and to get additional instruction, which is better than nothing. Cost may be an issue here too (plus the time to go to PT – though Mom might do it on the way to or from work). This seems look progress on some fronts, but not others. (I’m not sure how much retiring would permit Mom to attack these challenges more effectively.)

(Mom said that Florida Governor Charlie Crist – hot off of announcing a run for the U.S. Senate – today vetoed a pay cut for state workers, who have not gotten a raise in four years. Pay stability restored and MRI scheduled, Mom will lead an induction of new officers for Tallahassee’s American Association of University Women branch tonight.)

Stephanie’s father will face another court hearing after Tuesday’s. His tenants are apparently suing him for allegedly changing a handicapped ramp. He can settle for a small amount or go to trial and potentially get settled with a much larger dollar amount. Stephanie urged him to settle and then sell the property. Most of his 3-4 remaining properties seem to Stephanie to be more trouble and expense than they’re worth, especially given the state of the Central Ohio economy, which means that most tenants can’t really afford to pay rent and the pitfalls are many (thieves ransacking empty apartments, tenants suing, etc.). Part of what Stephanie’s father is probably doing is carrying on a family business and like my mother resisting retirement.

(Pictured above is the Columbus South End’s Buckeye steel plant, where Stephanie’s father once worked, which – like the West Side General Motors parts supplier factor that Mom and I also drove by this past weekend - is completely shuttered now – endemic of problems with Ohio’s manufacturing economy.)

-- Perry

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

More appointments


Tuesday was a big day with Stephanie’s father in Franklin County court over a landlord-tenant issue that has been brewing for some time, and Stephanie’s mother and my Aunt June back to chemotherapy treatment. Then today my Mother was off to the orthopedist for the first of appointments with doctors and physical therapists about her back problems that her regular doctors just recognized a few weeks ago. Today I went back to work for the first time in two weeks and Stephanie’s school had their second annual International festival, which Stephanie helped organize. Tonight is our final Children’s Fellowship, which may be inside (thanks to the rain). Sunday is an outdoor Pentecost worship service (weather permitting) with me serving as head usher for the third and last time this month, after our final (bilingual) Sunday school class of the school year. I am tentatively slated to go to a training for hospital visitation at church Sunday morning and at least Stephanie to a Columbus Clippers baseball game with some former high school classmates Saturday night at the new Arena district stadium (pictured above) between downtown Columbus and Goodale Park. We’ll see which of these work out. Hope confronting medical and legal issues this week is going OK for our family members.

-- Perry

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Memory lane


My week-long travels through South Florida reminded me of several trips:Miami area: My family made a couple of trips to the Miami while we lived in Gainesville. During one trip we camped in the Everglades (something I replicated twice with others), and on another trip we traded houses with the family from whom we had bought the Palm View Estates house – who had moved to Hollywood, FL, where I stayed for the conference last week. I don’t remember their house so well, but remember going to the Orange Bowl parade in Miami. I didn’t think so much this past week about Everglades trips.

Once as a family we visited the Fort Myers area, but I only remember going to Sanibel Island. During the mid and late 1990s and while I lived in Sarasota, I visited the Miami area several time: Once a flew there and stayed for 4 ½ days, doing research for my book – leaving Columbus, Ohio, just minutes after turning in grades. I thought about this trip when I was planning this trip, for it’s the only time I had contact with the Fort Lauderdale airport (I flew into there) and stayed on Miami Beach. A few years before I stopped in Jupiter and driven to Tampa before and after five days on Miami Beach for my first American Sociological Association meeting. And before that I had flown into Miami to meet Abby, whose parents were staying on Miami Beach. That ASA experience was memorable for a variety of reasons: One was – I flew into Miami, even though many tourists were having trouble renting cars and then getting carjacked. And, sure enough, one of my New School classmates got carjacked in a rental car. Last week was the first time I’ve flown into Miami since then (although I tried to route our Guatemala flights through Miami – unsuccessfully – note that in the book trip that followed my ASA trip I flew into Fort Lauderdale, not Miami). On the ASA and book trip I got to spend a decent amount of time on South Beach, on the second trip interviewing people around the beach. I also visited various friends and their families, including two I visited this time (Andrea and Daniel) and one I didn’t (Greg and his family subsequently moved to Texas). At some point in there I went to Miami Beach for “family weekend” at the Barbara Brennan school, which was then meeting at a hotel in Miami Beach. Then weeks before I headed to Tallahassee, then to Minnesota, away from Sarasota (and two months before 9/11), I visited Daniel and Andrea again.

A year before this, in late August 2000, on Stephanie and Vincent’s first amazing trip to visit me in Sarasota, on Sunday we drove down to Fort Myers, where her great aunt and family lived (with their Vietnamese pot-bellied pigs and the dog that helped inspire the Frisco acquisition – with all those famous pictures from that trip) – lived in Fort Myers Shores (where she and her extended family lived for some 25 years before Lana and Dick moved up to Tennessee (pictures to be posted eventually) – there are still cousins there – some of them drove up to Ohio for Aunt Catherine’s funeral – but I didn’t look them up – on a Thanksgiving visit by Papa Larry to Tallahassee and Bradenton – he rented a car one day and drove down to Fort Myers Shores to visit with them.) We stopped by the Ford-Edison mansions (before a renovation). Then we happened upon the Shell Factory store/attraction, on Tamiami Trail in North Fort Myers on our way home, which she had visited with her grandmother and father in past trips she made to Fort Myers, when her grandmother was alive. In and around Bradenton and Sarasota – and even around Tampa and St. Pete – I thought of various other visits they had made to see me in Sarasota and in turn me to see them in Bradenton (including that worldwind Memorial Day weekend Saturday in Tampa and St. Pete (eight years ago this coming weekend) and then – critically – the next Sunday – when we drove to Myakka Springs state park with the dog, through Arcadia (where Aunt Lana had once lived), and then Stephanie urged us to keep going to visit Zora Neale Hurston sites – putative, at least – around Lake Okechobee and in Fort Pierce (not all so putative, as it turned out). (Of course, don’t forget our trip to Orlando several years ago, when Mom (and sometimes) me were at the Florida AAUW meeting, Vincent was at an anime convention, and Stephanie and I visited the botanical gardens in Orlando and then Eatonville, where Zora Neale Hurston grew up.

(Of course, just 1 ½ years ago – I think – was my last visit to Bradenton and Sarasota, when I drove down from Tampa – hours before a conference I was attending was to start there – and did my favorite widest arc through both of our old neighborhoods and out on the beaches – Anna Maria Island, Bradenton Beach, Longboat Key, St. Armands Key, and Lido Key – Several times my family came from Gainesville to visit Sarasota, including the Ringling Museum and Asolo Theater, St. Armands Key and Lido Key, and even the antique car museum and New College. On this trip I overlapped with where I went 1 ½ years ago – but I purposely did something things – skipping some things I did last time (before I got my digital camera and before blogging – the beaches, the Presbyterian church, and downtown Sarasota)).

And then there’s another gripping Memorial Day memory. Four years ago today (Tuesday) or tomorrow, Grandma Martha arrived in Bradenton to help us finish packing – and several of the people I visited with in the past 24 hours (Marilyn, Emma, and Caroline) also helped us pack – while Vincent said good-bye to his Manatee School for the Arts friends – including in a party after school Friday) – and then we pulled out Saturday morning. The way I tell the story isn’t literally true – but of course I thought of it as I was driving across the Sunshine Skyway Bridge at lunchtime today. At lunchtime on Memorial Day Saturday 2005, I was driving the big rental truck over the bridge – on the way to Louisville) – overlapping the beautiful Tampa Bay and Fort Desoto Beach on a sunny morning – and turned to Stephanie and said: Now, tell me – Why is it again that we’re moving away from here?

(Six months later – the last time Stephanie, Vincent, and Frisco have been to Sarasota/Bradenton – the four of us visited a few days before Christmas – we didn’t really visit my New College friends then – but visited Marilyn. Stephanie was in Orlando a couple of years ago with Angie, for a conference, and Marilyn, Brantley, and Emma drove over to visit – but Marilyn told me she felt pretty sick during that visit. (Marilyn’s mother loves the Kentucky Derby, and they’ve all talked about getting up there, but getting Marilyn and her family up there would be quite an undertaking.) One month before, Stephanie and Grandma Martha met at the Orlando airport, and then they drove to the AAUW in West Palm Beach – which I thought of as I drove past West Palm Beach on the freeway (back in Gainesville days my family and I only went there once and I skipped it for my book trip. After 4 ½ days in Miami, I stopped in downtown Fort Lauderdale to interview Mom’s AAUW friend, the Broward County historian, before heading across Alligator Alley to interview Andrew and Jan’s old diving instructor. Instead of trying to get to Ford-Edison (since I knew it closed early), I detoured and drove through Immokalee (site of agricultural worker organizing) before making it to the Tampa area.)

There’s one very important trip I left off. During spring break 1984 (25 years ago – if I’m counting right), Melanie and I headed to Tallahassee while Cindy and one of her brothers headed to West Palm Beach. Melanie, Cindy, and I were all housemates in the “Red House” in Swarthmore, and Melanie and I were starting to go out. (I’m remembering a somewhat ill-fated foray down to Sarasota with Abby – while we were staying with Todd in Tampa – when the recently resuscitated Fiesta broke down in Bradenton, and we had to wait for it get fixed).) Melanie and I visited Todd in Inverness (I’ve driven through there within the past couple of years), and then we slept in our car in the Holiday Inn parking lot on Lido Key. Then we drove past Avon Park (where I also went on my book tour) and then stopped on the shores of Lake Okechobee (which Melanie remembered from Zora Neale Hurston’s “Their Eyes Were Watching God”). There we came across an African-American woman and her grandson who had been fishing on the lake. Somehow the grandson had become trapped in the trunk, and somehow I crawled back through the back seat to rescue him – or something like that. We kept driving along the lake and the canals that empty the northern Everglades into the Atlantic and picked up Cindy at a campgrounds in West Palm Beach. After visiting the Everglades and Naples (which I did not replicate this trip . . . OK – I’ll be frank – Just now I think I’m combining trips. The Okechobee/West Palm Beach trip that included visits to the Everglades, Naples, back to Avon Park, and to St. Augustine was a later trip, after the spring break trip (I think). For spring break 1984, Melanie, Cindy, and I went to Tallahassee, but it was still cold and rainy there. So around Wednesday we got back in the car and continued south. We wound up in Fort Myers on Thursday morning. We drove over to Sanibel Island where we stayed on the beach. This situation became three’s a crowd a little on the beach. Even though it was a little cloudy, we got a little sunburnt and a sea shell – at the world’s third best seashell – cut her foot and was bleeding. We wound up staying in a cheap motel in town – the Korean-owned and run Green Wave Motel (I remembered it partly because of the Green Wave is the mascot of Tulane University in New Orleans – probably an unintentional connection). Sunburnt and all we went to Fort Myers Beach to eat dinner. Probably the next day we headed down to Naples to connect with Andrew and Jane there.

One more trip I remembered: In very early May 2000, having just returned from Ohio and finished (for the most part) my dissertation research, I went for job interviews for one-year jobs at central PA’s Bucknell, where Abby had taught (I bombed), at central Michigan’s Albion (where Andrew taught), and then – at a school I had always wanted to teach at – Sarasota’s experimental, progressive, four-year public liberal arts college, New College. I remember I flew down to Tampa Sunday afternoon, rented a car, and drove on Interstate 75 to University Parkway, and found my motel (in the Day’s Inn which ended up being blocks away from where I lived for the year). Then I hopped back in the rental car and drove the three or four miles to St. Armand Circle, which my family and I had visited several times when I was a child – and had supper there (before heading back to the motel for one of my TV shows). In the morning I met the person who became my sponsor/mentor the next year, Penny (a sociologist) for breakfast, talked with a sociology class about my research, had tea with some students, and had lunch with Sarah, the person whose place I ended up taking for the next year (and who I’m still friends with). I remember walking around the campus (and being ferried around by Sarah). I sat in on Sarah’s class in the building on the bay (where I soon had an office – though I never taught there) and sat in a great class, a social theory class taught by David – in the same building – which I compared favorably with seminars at Swarthmore and the New School – and which helped save me on the college. It was a beautiful early May day – and I wore the same clothes more or less that I wore at the conference last week at Hollywood Beach – and I left with a good feeling (somewhat unjustifiably good in hind sight) about teaching in New College and living in Sarasota (Penny also showed me the house where I ended up living for a year). Amazingly, a week later I was back in NYC agonizing about which of the three offers to take (I ultimately picked New College). Interesting trip with several features I was to replicate this past week (flying out of Tampa, rental car transaction there, driving over the Skyway bridge, walking around New College campus, etc., etc.)

Interesting memories throughout.


-- Perry

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Keynote talks


Thursday night’s American Association for Public Opinion Research keynote speakers were both interesting. Nielsen research head honcho Paul Donato saw survey researchers going back to the future and then heading in new direction. Donato described how in-person surveys gave way to phone surveys, which costs and then missed coverage with all-cell phone households gave way to Internet surveys, which now also seem imperiled because of rather extreme duplication (same people on multiple “Internet panels”) – especially with apparent “professional panelists” – and missed coverage – with the “digital divide.” Donato said we may be going back to in-person surveys (he may have mentioned regular mail surveys in here somewhere).

But Donato also highlighted new digital research strategies (which he called "listening,
as opposed to "asking," which is what he said surveys do). Nielsen (the company that historically monitors household TV viewing) has apparently started tracking and “coding” (categorizing and counting) text in Internet chat rooms and on blogs and is assessing volume and content. He also linked viewing of CNBC business reports with consumer spending two weeks later. If a lot of people are watching CNBC, they’re worried about the economy – and that means they’ll spend less two weeks later. Another Another fascinating example Donato gave was what he called “electronic ethnography” – sending subjects cell phones and texting them every hour during the day to ask what they’re doing and asking them to take pictures of what’s in the refrigerators and cupboards every day. (Yet another example was linking social networking Web sites with Geographic Information Systems – so friends could monitor their friends’ whereabouts – like on Yahoo mapping – and researchers were monitoring both: both what friends were saying and doing and where they were at.)



Ken Prewitt, director of the Census Bureau during the Clinton Administration, not so implicitly criticized Donato for focusing on commercial issues and for not talking about areas in which universal coverage is important. For democracy and fair policy-making to work, the United States needs something like the census that covers everyone. Prewitt battled the Republican Congress back in the late 1990s about whether Census 2000 would employ sampling – and lost. (About this, Prewitt quipped: When you look out the window to see if it’s raining – do you insist on looking out all of the windows before deciding to go out with an umbrella?) Right off the top, Prewitt suggested, because of concerns about the census and immigration control, without sampling, the census is likely to miss up to half of Latinos. And when so much of government resources (from Congressional seats to Community Development Block Grant funds) is allocated on the basis of census information, this is fundamentally unfair. Ultimately – since sampling seems unlikely to win out now, too – the government may have to abandon the household as the unit of census enumeration (partly because cell phones and e-mail addresses aren’t intrinsically linked with geographically based households; and partly because household surveys – in-person, phone, or regular mail – are so expensive) and may need to turn more to administrative records (gathered for some other purpose, like Social Security records – which at this point aren’t very accurate except for certain information that is key for the program they’re gathered for) and perhaps for the kind of digital information that Donato called for.

-- Perry


Weekend surprises


Among the surprises this weekend:

We’ve generally felt we’ve been pretty safe from worrying with Vincent about those triple vices: sex, drugs, and drinking. Apparently no more are we going to be immune from worrying about these with him (especially if you include tobacco).

I’ve talked with two different survey researchers who are also immigrants from Southern and Eastern Europe about the Georgia and Kosovo wars. I even sent one of them – with whom I argue a little – my blog entry last summer “Georgia on my mind.” Who would have thought?

It’s been one year this week since the May 20 KY presidential primary. On the anniversary of the weekend in which I made calls both for then Senator Clinton and then Senator Obama’s campaigns, at one of many electoral politics polling presentations I’ve been to, I learned that 25 percent of Clinton voters across the country did indeed vote for Senator McCain. And nearly half of those who voted for other Democratic presidential candidates (mainly Senator Edwards – not a very big group), voted for McCain. Apparently racial politics played at least a small role here. Few of these voters “stayed home” (didn’t vote) to protest. And few supporters of other Republican candidates defected (as the Democrats). Readers may recall not only our coverage of the Democratic primary, but also my blog entry from Boston about the pseudo-focus group with wavering former Hilary supporters. Of course, in the end, Obama didn’t need all of the Clinton voters to win relatively easily. Without the financial crisis in the fall and the eventual tide against Governor Palin, these folks could have posed a much bigger threat to Obama.

We’ll see what other surprises – pleasant and unpleasant – await me this weekend. Go Rachel Alexandra (in two hours)! Go, Rockets (tomorrow night). I’m going to go for a swim instead of taking a nap now.

-- Perry

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Question wording


The second paid workshop I went to this week at the public opinion research conference overlapped in content with one of the short courses I took three years ago in Ann Arbor. The topic for both: drafting good survey questions. A University of Wisconsin professor who I’d heard of (Nina Schaeffer) led this one. She whipped through what sometimes seemed like a semester of material quickly, but this topic comes a little more naturally to me and I kept up. The course was geared more towards person-to-person interview surveys (on the phone or in person) than “self-administered” (paper and pencil or Web-based surveys – like what we do in Research Services), but many things apply across and others of us in the workshop sometimes asked questions about self-administered surveys.

In general, Schaeffer suggested spelling things out – writing more detailed questions and more questions. Put information important to answering the questions – definitions, time periods, BEFORE the actual question, she said (and don’t capitalize or underline key words – boldface them). After people hear what they think is the question, they start formulating a response and don’t necessarily listen to the rest. This may also apply to self-administered questionnaires. People may just not read the extra text.

Partly with that in mind, Schaeffer recommended against doing what we occasionally do. Instead of including a conventional stand-alone screening question – have you ever visited another country? – before asking which countries – we might sometimes ask the which foreign country or countries have you visited by including a parenthetical phrase – before the response options – giving people a chance to check a box if they haven’t ever left the United States. We do this because it takes up less space and helps respondents avoid skip fatigue (getting tired of being asked screening and being skipped around the survey through sometimes complex skip instructions).

(In Web surveys, we can embed the skips into the actual program and so respondents don’t have to think much about it – If they say No – they haven’t been to another country on a separate screening question, we can program the Web survey so they never see the Which country? Question.)

Don’t do the parenthetical phrase check box, Schaeffer said – because many respondents won’t look at this phrase and if people haven’t checked it we don’t know if they have in fact been to other countries or whether they just didn’t look at the phrase. (Respondents are more likely to look at stand-alone questions, Schaeffer implied.)

In some cases, however, Schaeffer advocated leaving out screening questions and building them into a second question. For example: Instead of asking have you ever visited a country outside of the United States? And then how many countries? - simply ask How many countries outside the United State have you visited, ever? and make sure that respondents they should write in zero (0) if they’ve never been abroad. Schaeffer suggested making these kinds of response options in this order None or Never then fill in the blank numbers. She suggested in general avoid frequency and rate questions and when possible avoid fixed response options with numbers grouped – try to get people to fill in the blank the exact numbers. Instead of how often in a regular week, ask how many times in the past seven days starting on Sunday, May 2, and ending on Saturday, May 8, did you do the following?

If you have to, she said, you can group numbers (like if you think there’s no way people will remember exact numbers) or even: words describing frequency.

Schaeffer said research suggests that it’s important to order “Yes” and “No” options in -that order. She said in general going in reverse order for other types of questions – especially against social desirability – helps counteract the tendency of people to answer positively and to check the first response or two. So for example – in a question about activity – if one didn’t switch to a fill in the blank numbers question – she suggested going to Not at all active, a little active, somewhat active, very active, and extremely active – in that order. Researchers have tested all of these options – to make sure they don’t overlap too much. Very just doesn’t seem intense enough to people to top off a response list with.

Generally, Schaeffer said – never have “True” as part of a question with lots of responses. She also said: Avoid questions about agreement unless it’s clearly something that’s a should question – your opinion about a policy issue.

Also – mainly write “unipolar” questions - not at all satisfied, a little satisfied, somewhat satisfied, very satisfied, extremely satisfied- instead of “bipolar” questions – very dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, in between, somewhat satisfied, very dissatisfied (although she didn’t entirely ban these). In general, label the response options for all such questions with words. Don’t use numeric scales – like “1” through “7” – partly because these can mean different things to different people. Use 5-7 labeled with words options with unipolar questions and five or seven response options – always with an option in the middle – with bipolar questions. Usually, with bipolar questions, make the options “symmetrical” – “strongly” or “somewhat” agree – with an option in the middle – and then “somewhat” or “strongly” disagree.

Schaeffer debated with herself about whether to put “in the middle” options in fact in the middle, or leave it as the last option. She argued that in everyday speech, people sometimes ask each other – do you like this, or dislike it, or have mixed feelings. She also referred to different options. She apparently preferred “Mixed Feelings” or “In the Middle” or “Not Applicable” to “No Opinion” or “Don’t Know” (the ones we use most). She argued that our favorites were too general or vague.

Schaeffer also agreed with pollsters such as those from Gallup who push people to express opinions. In live interview surveys, she suggested that interviewers not present No opinion-type options, but record them if people volunteer No opinion responses. After hedging some, she said this wasn’t really possible with self-administered surveys. Web survey participants can’t write things in. And it’s messy when respondents to paper and pencil surveys do so.

She and I talked about this more after the session. Our office has long held a different view from that that Gallup and apparently Schaeffer hold. We believe that respondents don’t already have opinions on all issues. If they don’t really have opinions, trying to force them to state an opinion would produce faulty data. The argument Schaeffer made is this. I gave her the example of the proposal to set up a “cap and trade” system in which the government would limit how much carbon emissions companies could release (in the Presbyterian Panel environmental issues survey that’s about to go to print). But the government would also help set up a market for permits to release a certain amount of carbon emissions. If a company really wanted to release a lot of carbon emission, it rong) could buy permits from companies that weren’t going to emit carbon much. In an actual question I helped write about this, we don’t even use the cap and trade lingo and I tried to explain the proposal (or piggy-backed off of language from a staff person in the Presbyterian Washington office). But in the real world – said Schaeffer – people all the time get – and sometimes take – opportunities to express opinions about things like the cap and trade proposal – even if they know very little or nothing about it and can just guess what’s it about or vaguely connect it to something they know a little about and/or care about. Like maybe it has something to do with trading baseball caps. In this case, pushing people to express an opinion about it without giving them any more information is in fact more realistic, she said. Extreme examples of this are when survey researchers have asked people about fictitious proposals or about measures so obscure – the Trade Adjustment Act is something she cited as an example – that hardly any respondents really know what it is. What some survey researchers then do – after asking about whether people support or oppose cap and trade or Trade Adjustment – is spend a whole survey filling in bits of detail and arguments and counterarguments and see how respondents reply to those different elements. Schaeffer said what I was really pushing for people not to report any uninformed (or possibly strong opinions). Most people have at least some kind of vague opinions about most things. By including a No opinion or Don’t know category, we are encouraging people to assess how strong and how well informed their opinion is and – if it doesn’t seem that strong – to report it as “No opinion.”

Schaeffer and I probably still disagree about this. I hope to try many of the things she suggested, but am not sure I want to give up on No opinion options and on starting with the negative first on scale questions.

Two other points: Schaeffer gave us a thick handout with the slides for her PowerPoint presentation and many slides she didn’t have time to talk about. Several weeks ago she also e-mailed us some a bunch of references. She said that in the semester-long version of the course she spends a lot of time talking about the research findings that support her recommendations. The 2 ½ -hour version of the course is practical – it focuses on suggestions/guidelines (by the way, Schaeffer also says get rid of abbreviations and symbols – including e.g. and slashes – in survey questions) without supplying all of the supporting research findings. When asked she sometimes referred to studies.

A session I went to this afternoon underlined some of my unease about eliminating the No opinion response option. A study of the polling about the presidential election polls during the couple of months before the November election – and a little before the New Hampshire primary elections – showed the problems with either not allowing respondents to respond No opinion or not including this as a stated response category or with not reporting No opinion responses to the public or press. Although by immediately before the general election most of the polls converged and relatively accurately predicted Senator Obama’s margin of victory over Senator McCain, in September and October the polls disagreed a lot. And in the months before the primaries, pollsters reported – as it turns out, quite incorrectly – that Mayor Giuliani and Senator Clinton had consolidated leads and would probably win the New Hampshire primary (Clinton did win; Giuliani fared very poorly). This second example really throws in clear relief the No opinion issue. Standard pre-election polling ask people who they would vote for if the election were held today. But the election was months off. If you looked at the data closely, something like 75 percent of the Republican electorate was actually undecided. So when the pollsters reported Giuliani as the frontrunner, they weren’t explaining that in fact only a small minority of NH Republicans supported him. Somewhat ditto during fall 2008. The polls varied so much until the last few weeks before the election, this researcher argued, because many voters were in fact undecided but the survey interviewers pushed them to say who they would vote for. In this situation, it shouldn’t be a surprise that – when survey respondents were replying somewhat randomly because they didn’t really yet have an opinion – that people would tell different pollsters at different times different things. Aggressively discouraging people not to respond No opinion – and not reporting No opinion responses – can produce very misleading results that don’t really accurately represent actual opinion

-- Perry

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Nonresponse


People who respond vs. those who don’t to surveys are sometimes very different, including sometimes on key types of information that researchers are studying. Let’s say you’re studying people’s opinions about gun control. People for whom this issue is very important – let’s say, National Rifle Association members (let’s say they’re very against gun control) and relatives of gun violence victims (let’s say they’re very for gun violence) - may be much more likely to respond to questions about gun control. Because of this, surveys ostensibly of samples of the whole U.S. population may artificially suggest the public is polarized on this issue. There may, in fact, be lots of people who don’t have strong feelings for or against gun control. It may be hard to notice this if the survey research response rates among NRA members and gun violence victim relatives are much larger than response rates among other people.

But how to figure this out and what to do about it?The first paid workshop I went to at the American Association for Public Opinion Research conference on Hollywood (FL) beach this week dealt with this.

One of the key would-be presenters skipped out because the Obama Administration has just appointed him to direct the U.S. Census Bureau. A University of Nebraska professor substituted for him, joining a researcher for a private research firm.

A key point Michael Brick and Kristen Olson made was that many survey researchers focus on response rates (the percentage of people you asked to respond to a survey who actually did so) as a proxy for error due to nonresponse, to nonresponse bias. But they cited a 2008 study that showed that many studies with all different kinds of response rates can suffer from large nonresponse bias. Even with surveys with response rates of 60, 70, 80, or 90 percent, the people who respond and the people who don’t respond may be very different, even on the key variables the researchers are interested in. Conversely, surveys with response rates of 10, 20, or 30 percent may involve respondents and nonrespondents who are not very different from each other on relevant key variables. In general, this study showed that response rates (oir - inversely - nonresponse rates) are a very imperfect indicator of nonresponse bias.


A strategy for assessing nonresponse bias initially that one of my colleagues (Jack) often suggests is comparing results for a key variable on one survey with results from another another, maybe even a better survey. The workshop leaders suggested comparing results on – for example, age – for a general survey of the U.S. population that one might be working on with – let’s say, the age distribution – that comes out of the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. In my office we can compare results for surveys of Presbyterian congregations (as answered by their leaders) with Office of the General Assembly data (that actually comes from another survey of congregations, the Session Annual Statistical Report).

I was recently looking at responses to yet another survey of Presbyterian congregations (this one from last year) and comparing responses on some similar questions on another survey, this one from 2000. I was interested in change, but I was a little suspicious of some of the changes that showed up (partly because the implications seemed so bleak: more financial problems now, fewer volunteers, fewer staff, weaker vision for the future, etc.). I wondered if too many of the responses to the current survey came from small, struggling Presbyterian congregations. I went to OGA/SASR data and found that the median average worship attendance for the congregations surveyed was pretty similar to that for all PC(USA) congregations (around 70 worshipers on Sunday). That surprised me. What may have exaggerated 2000-2008 changes, however, was that the median worship attendance for congregations whose leaders responded to the 2000 survey was significantly larger than median attendance for Presbyterian congregations in general at that time. Median worship attendance has decreased a little, but not as much as you’d think from just looking at these two surveys.

There are at least two possibilities (and it could be both): The possibility that the initial sample for the 2000 survey (around 700 congregations) was less representative (attendance size wise) than the smaller sample for the 2008 survey (200 congregations) seems intuitively implausible, because of the size difference (though it could be a factor). More plausible is differential response by congregational size leading to response bias. With the 2000 survey in particular, leaders of a smaller percentage of small congregations responded to the survey. If smaller congregations are struggling more, this gave an exaggerated picture of how financially secure and loaded with paid staff and volunteer Presbyterian congregations were in 2000. In turn it exaggerated a change in financial security and people resources among Presbyterian congregations between 2000 and 2008. For whatever reason (with the smaller 2008 sample), this response bias may have not occurred, yielding a more accurate picture now (which still isn’t that pretty).

If further analysis confirmed that response bias at work, we might adjust the 2000 survey results by weighting – counting disproportionately the responses of leaders of smaller congregations that DID respond and therefore reducing the – counting less – the responses of leaders of larger congregations. We could also recalculate the response rate to reflect our estimate of in what proportion leaders of congregations of all sizes responded – rather than a general response rate, unweighted – in other words, to weight the response rate by size to account for how much response rates varied among congregations of different sizes.

The workshop leaders also suggested finding out more about the sampled cases to try to learn more about response bias. One strategy is to try to match survey respondents with other information we have about them. We actually already did this with the 2000 and 2008 survey data. Instead of using the Sunday worship attendance figures the respondents reported in the survey, my colleague Ida and I matched the survey data to the OGA/SASR data and used the average Sunday worship attendance for those sampled congregations from the SASR survey. Using these data, we could then compare survey response rates among sampled congregations of different sizes – to assess the theory I laid out above that – among sampled 2000 congregations – fewer small congregations had leaders respond to the survey, compared with large congregations.

But there are also other sources of data about congregations. We could link to census data to see – for example - if leaders of congregations from different regions of the country responded at different rates. If we were e-mail inviting people in a group to participate in a Web-based survey, we could assess whether people for whom we apparently had personal e-mail accounts (by – let’s say – virtue of their e-mail addresses ending with endings that suggested subscription with popular Internet Service providers like Google mail, America On-Line, Earthlink, Insight Communications, and so on ) responded at different rates from people who appeared to have organizational e-mail addresses. If we were surveying people on the Presbyterian Panel or a part of our hymnal study, we’re likely to have information from previous surveys (including the Panel background survey) or short screening surveys (the Hymnal study). In that case we could use information from these earlier surveys to assess – for example – whether women and men responded at different rates or whether leaders of congregations that use vs. those that don’t use the existing “Presbyterian Hymnal” respond at different rates.

Again, there’s always the chance to re-weight the results and the response rates to try to counteract apparent biases in the results due to differential nonresponse to surveys.

The workshop leaders also talked about extraordinary efforts to try to persuade nonrespondents to participate in a survey. My colleague Jack helped get us a grant several years ago to try this with the Panel – by calling Presbyterians who weren’t participating in the Panel (A cheaper way to do this is to call a sample of nonrespondents – but then weighting is even more complex.) Using incentives – like money, sometimes sent with a survey (and offered to would-be respondents as a sign of trust and an indicator of a survey’s importance) – is another strategy. (I once got a $5 bill in an envelope with a blank survey from our magazine, “Entertainment Weekly.”) Another similar strategy we’ve talked about using is sending reply envelopes with real stamps instead of business reply envelopes with which the U.S. Postal Service only charges us if the people send the survey back in the envelope. As with the cash incentives, placing a real stamp on the return envelope is a sign of trust that the would-be respondent will indeed reply. It also makes the process look even more official and professional. And our would-be respondents might feel guilty if they’ve cost the church another stamp and haven’t completed and returned the survey.

But in general even the reminder e-mail messages, post cards, and letters with duplicate surveys we routinely send out are a form of “extraordinary effort.” So we might compare the responses on key questions of respondents who replied before reminders were sent out with those who responded only after receiving reminders – or responses of those who replied after final reminders versus responses by those who replied earlier. We might then extrapolate that responses by pure nonrespondents would in fact be similar to those of late respondents and adjust our reported results accordingly. In practice, this would amount to weighting more heavily the responses by late respondents (maybe a lot if the overall response rate was low).

In general, the workshop leaders said that response bias occurs with statistics, not with surveys. Although they did not talk much about item nonresponse (people who respond to surveys but skip some questions (as many people do)), they said that – even if people in different groups in your survey – let’s say women and men – respond at very different rates, this alone does not produce response bias if people in these two groups don’t disagree or have different experiences on the key topics of the survey. Let’s say 60 percent of women elders – but only 30 percent of men elders – of congregations in a presbytery responded to a survey. But let’s say that – in the actual congregations – women and men didn’t disagree at all as to whether the presbytery should make a particular personnel or policy change. If the centerpiece of the survey is to assess attitudes about a proposed change in the presbytery, and people of different genders from among elders in congregations of that presbytery agree on this change, the differential response rates by gender will not produce response bias that is substantively significant.

Although workshop leaders urged survey researchers to keep in mind studying and trying to counteract response bias when we are designing surveys, they spent only a little time at the end talking about research studies that include experimental designs to assess response bias. Let’s say you propose a study that employs different survey “modes” – phone surveys, regular mailed printed surveys, Web surveys with e-mail invitations, door-to-door canvassing for in-person surveys.. If it’s already apparent that door-to-door surveys usually work best, for example, most clients aren’t going to say – let’s do this four different ways, even though I know that we’d get the best results if we did them all by in-person methods. I’m willing to have you consign three-quarters of our would-be respondents to survey methods that will persuade fewer of them to participate in the survey, for the sake of generating more research about nonresponse and improving future surveys. Most clients won’t go for that. (Keep in mind that there is some evidence that people are less truthful for example about sensitive topics – urinary incontinence was a topic of one study the workshop leaders covered – in-person than they are in more anonymous surveys (like printed or Web).) Nevertheless, a few researchers have been able to do these kinds of experimental studies.



One key formula from today: base weights should be the inverse of probabilities of selection. So for example if you stratify a sample and for whatever reason you sample 20 percent of men and 50 percent of women, the base weight for responses by men should be 5 (1 divided by 1/5) and for women should be 2 (1 divided by ½.).

Another formula: an estimate of nonrespponse error is equal to the response rate multiplied by the difference between the mean response by the respondents and the mean response by the nonrespondents. The trick is to gauge that latter mean. How much nonresponse error is too much? Too much, the workshop leaders said, occurs when the nonrepsonse error is 10 percent of the sampling error (sampling error – another source of error – depends on the sample size, the distribution of responses to a key question, and the confidence with which you want to say responses by a sample represent responses by )all in a population.)

On to the topic of questionnaire construction Thursday morning.

-- Perry

Monday, May 11, 2009

Appointments


Today Vincent goes to his weekly appointment with his counselor and then we follow up with an appointment with her also, at 7 p.m. Vincent and we have backslid in the last few days, arguing about things like language, chores, and school progress. Vincent has not applied for any jobs for a couple of weeks now.

Earlier today Grandma Martha has her annual doctor’s appointment. Her back and also her knee have been bothering her lately. I have a lunch appointment with a possible Presbyterian Panel client today also.

I am slated to leave for a week in Florida at midday Tuesday. I will drop off the car for assessment and possible repair and the way to the airport. Tuesday is also Frisco’s ninth birthday, which we may celebrate a little today.

I’m trying hard to finish several projects today and Tuesday, but will have to take my laptop with me Tuesday to keep working.

Stephanie is tentatively slated to have her book club over this Thursday evening. We’ve been trying to clean the inside and work on the outside in preparation for that and Grandma Martha’s 2 ½-day visit next week. We’re all set with walkers, extra toilet seat, and food for Mom. I still have a little cleaning to do.

Stephanie has been keeping up with books but hasn’t actually been to book club for several months.

This week I’ll be visiting with friends in the Miami area, then at a fancy hotel on the beach in nearby Hollywood (the Westin Diplomat Resort and Spa - pictured above) for an expensive survey research conference (American Association for Public Opinion Research – my first time to this meeting, which my manager – the former Associate for Survey Research – used to go to). Sunday or Monday I’ll drive on Alligator Alley and past Naples and Fort Myers to the Sarasota-Bradenton area, where I’ll tool around and visit friends (my first visit there since I spent most of a day there prior to a conference in Tampa). Then I’ll fly from Tampa to Louisville Tuesday, arriving a few minutes after Mom arrives from Tallahassee. Mom and I are slated (during Days 3 and 4 of the furlough) to visit local tourist sites and perhaps Stephanie’s school) before heading for Ohio, where we plan to rendezvous with Stephanie, Vincent, Frisco, Penny, Serge, and Jacob and visit relatives over the Memorial Day holiday weekend.

-- Perry

Friday, April 17, 2009

Health challenges

My stepmother, Renee, fell in the shower on Easter morning and is now home recuperating from surgery to her leg. I’m told her recovery will take quite a while. She’s always been strong and maintained an active, post-retirement lifestyle in California – golfing several times a week (including sometimes on the nine-hole golf course, pictured above, that's in their condo complex) – and so I imagine this period has been quite an adjustment for her. It may have also been an adjustment for my father, as – since his remarriage - he has typically been the one with health problems. He may be trying his hand at cooking again.Those of you who pray might pray for healing for Renee and for patience, strength, and creativity for both Richard and Renee.

P.S. I talked with Dad and Renee. Renee slipped and broke the bone immediately above her knee between her knee and thigh badly in three places in the bathroom at the condo complex gym/clubhouse where they have taken showers since they moved there. Luckily a young man was in the clubhouse and came to Renee’s rescue (dialing my Dad and 911 for her) after she fell – Otherwise, she might have been all alone for hours, in pain with her leg bone sticking out. Renee underwent four hours of surgery on Easter Sunday afternoon and now has pins, etc. in her leg. The doctor has ordered her to stay in bed at least until an appointment she has at the end of this month. (Apparently she has a walker to go to the bathroom.) At some point after that, physical therapists will start coming out to their condo to work with her. Her doctor and she expect that she will recover fully, including playing golf, but it will take a lot of hard work on her part. She said my father has surprised her by doing what the doctor ordered: cooking for her and bringing to her bedside three meals a day. He’s apparently still managing to do a little work on his translation into English of letters by 19th-Century Korean Catholic martyrs. But I imagine the two of them will come out of this with themselves and their relationship a little transformed. Unfortunately, both of Renee’s daughters are busy with school, work, or families, and although I’d like to help I’m not yet jumping on a plane to California.

P.P.S. Meanwhile, my Mom is attending a Florida American Association of University Women conference – the same state meeting that Stephanie or I have attended with her three times – at a hotel (pictured below) in Gainesville, the town where Penny and me grew up (which I tried to take Stephanie and Vincent to visit, once) (at a hotel not too far from where I learned how to swim.)

-- Perry


Monday, April 13, 2009

Dangers


Bad weather in Kentuckiana and especially in North Florida – where tornadoes seem headed from the west to Tallahassee – has me worried.

Vexing health problems also abound. Every week I tell the dentist that I’m finally done with them for a while and the next week I’m always exposed as a liar. Tuesday I got my teeth cleaned and Friday I stopped by the endodontist’s office (and besides making a possible root canal appointment for Stephanie for next week – I got a recommendation that I go back to my dentist this week to get fitted for a mouth guard).

Plus I’m worried I’ve got another hernia or re-injured my old one and am off to the doctor about that Friday.

And Vincent is headed to a new psychiatrist Tuesday – partly in hopes that he can keep taking medication while ameliorating some of the tiredness and blurred vision after taking the pills he experiences.

P.S. On health dangers to us, Aunt June went to the doctor today and – somewhat to our surprise – they’ve slated her for nine weeks of chemotherapy and radiation treatment. She will lose her hair. She may lose her voice as the throat cancer expands.

P.P.S. Aunt Songza recovered enough – apparently with no brain damage – to go back to her condo in Seoul. However, she is still facing some pain and some air in her brain that must dissipate. One by one her children are visiting her there.

- Perry

Monday, April 6, 2009

A little Magic


The alma maters of two of basketball’s greatest players, Earvin “Magic” Johnson, formerly of Michigan State, and Michael Jordan, formerly of the University of North Carolina, clashed tonight for the NCAA championship. Johnson, one of my favorite players and personalities, was in the stands for the semifinals games and in the booth for the championship, which his Spartans trailed quickly. Magic, who played commentator for the TNT network, commented on the game but also on the historic March Madness Final Four championship game 30 years ago, which pitted his Spartan against Larry Bird’s Indiana State. That game, which the Spartans won, really put men’s college basketball on the map. I did not watch that game, but I did see plenty of what followed: the continued Magic vs. Larry rival in the NBA, including the 1987 Magic-led LA Lakers vs. Bird-led Boston Celtics seven-game NBA Finals, which I watched every minute of. I remember the day that news came out that Magic had become infected with the HIV virus and his first retirement (on the eve of a couple of appointments, and providing the topic for my 1993 holiday card), his two comebacks, including his final NBA and NBA playoffs game, which I watched with Stephanie in a Westerville sports restaurant on our third date together. And I remember Magic – with his good stories, his pithy comments, and his infectious smile – enlightening, informing, and entertaining Andrew and me and some 10,000 other people at a Tallahassee-Leon County Civic Center event in the 1990s. Keep on smiling, Magic! Happy 30th anniversary, Magic, Larry, and March Madness!

-- Perry

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Tea for two


Perry and I really enjoyed the chrysanthemum tea we had at a Chinese restaurant we had lately. We even bought some of the tea to make some at home (with the hostess reminding us to use lots of honey). I brought the tea home and then pondered how to make it. Did I really want to put the loose chrysanthemum tea into my large tea kettle that sits on the stove all the time? or even putting it in the silver plated tea pot my Dad gave me earlier (yes, it now shines but how clean is it really)? So in the back of my mind a want of a tea set was brewing.

At our school each month a lady (officially the Book Lady) comes in and sets up books, trinkets, photo collages, and the like that teachers may be interested in. It is in the teachers workroom and if we are interested we just sign a little paper with our interest and voila a week or two later our merchandise is delivered. Nothing is ever too expensive. I even have bought a few Christmas gifts from the Book Lady, but usually things are geared toward young children or kind of what I call "dust collectors", but others might call nick knacks.


This past month the Book Lady had a small tea set. It was one that you paint any way you want. It was a small porcelain tea pot, a sugar bowl, four cups, and four saucers. For the price it couldn't be beat and I thought it might be fun to decorate. Then I got home. How should I paint it? I'm not artistic! What was I thinking?



Then inspiration hit (or more like March Madness and Perry's incessant TV watching). Who should be in the playoffs? Florida State University, my Alma mater! So I finished painting my Florida inspired tea set yesterday while Vincent was off with his girlfriend and Perry was off volunteering for Obama. I have yet to bake it (the paint has to be dry for 24 hours), but it was a fun little project, even if the tea set is MUCH smaller than I thought it would be.





--- Stephanie
PS. The above painting is NOT a giraffe, even if both Perry and Vincent thought it was supposed to be. It is supposed to be Renegade!


Saturday, March 14, 2009

Congrats, 'Noles (and Bucks)!


Florida State's men's basketball team upset No. 1 North Carolina this afternoon in an Atlantic Coast Championship semi-final game. Thanks to clutch shooting and defense by Toney Douglas (pictured above), Derwin Kitchen, and Coach Leonard Hamilton's other team members, FSU won 73-70 in Atlanta and headed to its first ever ACC men's championship game. Rolling simultaneously were Coach Thad Matta's Ohio State men's basketball team, which leveled No. 7 Michigan State en route to another conference championship game, the Big 10 title game in Indianapolis. Both teams are now probably assured decent seeds in the NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament - aka "March Madness" - whose selections will be announced Sunday and which will start Thursday. Up next: tonight Coach Rick Pitino's No. 5 Louisville Cardinals play in the Big East conference championship game in New York City's Madison Square Garden. Go Cards!

-- Perry

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Reprieve


Stephanie got a call back from the IN Department of Education today during school (IN state capitol and state government office complex in Indianapolis pictured above). They said she had a short, two-year IN teaching license because she had come from out-of-state and not participated in a mentoring program. But Stephanie was in a mentoring program when she taught in FL, and she had provided the IN school district with that information before. If she clears up some paperwork like that, Stephanie will apparently not have to take two graduate-level education classes within the next month to keep her license and her job. Instead, she will get her two-year license extended into a five-year license. She should also get credit for continuing ed-type programs she goes to periodically with colleagues in Indianapolis and Bloomington. She’ll still need to take some classes – hopefully sooner rather than later – but she may be able to plan them out so they configure with an effort to earn 30 more graduate-level credits, so she can get a raise. So, once she’s taken care of the paperwork, the pressure is probably off. Not so with boy, who has that 2:30 p.m. appointment Friday with a court worker about the possible terroristic threat charge. Vincent did OK at the meetings earlier this week, but he hasn’t impressed us with the amount of school work he’s done since then ((probably only a few hours worth at most) or walking the dog (the dog had an accident today). Hopefully, tomorrow will go more like the meetings earlier this week than the rest of the week.

P.S. It seems possible that the dates just announced for summer school at Stephanie’s school (8 a.m.-12 noon June 15-26) may complicate possible Mom knee surgery plans.

P.P.S. Mom went to her orthopedist today (even though she’s sick). Reported Mom: “[Dr. Fahey] says that, as long as I am getting along so well having had one knee done, there is no reason to do the other knee unless/until it gets worse. Good news!”

So maybe there’s no scheduling conflict with Stephanie’s summer schedule and I’ll have to find some other way to spend the furlough (though it may still involve being in Florida).

P.P.S. Stephanie reminds us how weak Mom was after the surgery last summer and wonders whether she'll be strong enough to recover from surgery if it's a couple of years from now.

-- Perry

Monday, February 16, 2009

Valentine's Day


Besides exchanging cards ourselves and Stephanie giving me Doris Kearns Goodwin's "Team of Rivals," Stephanie took in the most loot for Valentine's Day. Stephanie's colleagues from the district office gave her flowers and a nice card, ostensibly for rushing effectively through ESL tests for her students, in the week plus they had left after the ice storm. Stephanie also got loads of candy and cards for her students (and some from her colleagues) (see below).


Vincent and Sam spent the majority of Valentine's Day at our house. They went to Odd Lots to buy "Kung Fu Panda" and ordered pizza, and then I took them to a Valentine's day dance at school (Vincent's last weekend as a Brown School student???) and they hung out some on Bardstown Road. Meanwhile, Stephanie and I watched the romantic comedy/dog movie "Marley and Me" (with lots of fun scenes in South Florida, which I visited for my book and will head back to in May for a conference - plus stories about journalists at papers I know - and some scenes of another city I know), then ate Skyline Chili, then went dining room table shopping at th mall. Late I stopped by the annual church Valentine's Day fund-raiser - this time dessert and dancing with the band led by Ryan, Jessi's brother. Turnout was a little low this year. I ate more desserts than I should have and helped clean up. Ian had been taking prom-type pictures all night, even though he was sick, and I helped them pack up.

-- Perry

Sunday, February 1, 2009

Rachel Getting Married


This movie stayed for a few weeks at the art house theater, then just barely got into one of the discount theaters, where I saw it Saturday. A fabulous movie that mixes: (1) a free-flowing Jonathan Demme ("Silence of the Lambs") documentary-style (with "Homicide"-style hand-held cameras) portrayal of a wedding weekend that reminded me a lot of my sister and Serge's New Year's Eve day 1994 (?) wedding, a wedding that produced pictures that helped link Stephanie and me; and (2) a family drama a la Robert Redford's 1980 "Ordinary People." Anne Hathaway (of "The Devil Wears Prada" is fabulous as a troubled woman returning home for her sister's wedding weekend, as is the sister, played by unknown to me Kathleen DeWitt. Debra Winger. as their mother, is virtually unrecognizable. Great movie.

-- Perry




Valkyrie


Friday saw the three of us go to yet another movie set in mid-centuray Germany. I saw a documentary on TV some 20 or 30 years ago about one of the most promising efforts to assassinate Hitler. This dramatization of the plot led by German Army Colonel Claus von Stauffenburg won the thumbs up for historical accuracy by my Tallahassee World War II buffs David and Boyd. Boyd wrote his dissertation about the economic impact of the SS in wartime Germany. This movie is fair enough with familiar faces such as Tom Cruise and Kenneth Brataugh. The omnipresent Tom Wilkinson again almost steals the show as the hedging-his-bets General Fromm. A relatively suspenseful portrayal of this promising attempt, the movie nevertheless suffers from the inability of viewers to get an idea what motivated Stauffenburg to form part of the Resistance to Hitler.
-- Perry

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Louisville Idol


You might recall that Vincent and I drove by the July "American Idol" try-outs at Freedom Hall (see "Implosion and 'Idol'"). Last week I was making my nightly drive to Vincent's friend's house to wait for him and pick him, and I missed the "Idol" show from Louisville (which covered the July Freedom Hall try-outs with producers and the September follow-up try-outs that included Paula, Randy, Simon, and - now - Kara. But before "Idol" Tuesday night - the local Fox affiliate ran a "Idol in the Ville" special, with lots of footage. We caught the second half, with footage from the Churchill Downs try-out. Only one person from KY (from Hopkinsville/Bowling Green) made it "to Holly wood." After that, we enjoyed also watching the regular "Idol" show officially from Jacksonville (which the three of us visited some eight years ago on our way to St. Augustine). It seems that the summer segment took place around the Jacksonville civic center, where I saw Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers with Greg and a friend some 20 years ago. Then, the second round was held on lovely St. Simon's Island - which the show didn't mention is actually across the border in Georgia, near where Vincent got a concussion biking with his father and near where the four of us in my family watched the Apollo 11 moon landing in a motel on TV (near Brunswick, GA) and where Penny and I stopped on one of those wonderful summer Latin trips. I don't recall other "Idol" auditions (in Kentucky or Florida), and this one featured a physics student from Florida State University and a contestant (Ann Marie Boskovic) who got to come back and try a second time.

Click here to see the Louisville contestants who are going to Hollywood: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epwZxpiBqw8

"Idol" started the Jacksonville episode by showing a clip of Journey - during the time when (now "Idol" judge) Randy Jackson was its bass player - playing on the "Raised on Radio" tour in the Jacksonville arena where I once saw Petty. Somehting like: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FP-yr6iWPMs

-- Perry